Oilers vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
4
3
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    100%
  • Avalanche
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 3
P3 19:46 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 19:02 Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 18:50 Martin Necas shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 17:14 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 15:33 Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:02 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:13 Shot missed by Cale Makar
P3 12:22 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:50 Power play - Shot missed by Devon Toews
P3 11:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:58 Power play - Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 08:57 Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 08:17 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 07:50 Parker Kelly shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 06:15 Brent Burns shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 04:38 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:31 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 03:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:18 Power play - Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 00:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  3. P3 19:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  4. P3 19:25
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  6. P3 18:50
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  7. P3 18:32
    Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  8. P3 18:08
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  9. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  10. P3 16:13
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  11. P3 15:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Tristan Jarry
  12. P3 15:03
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Tristan Jarry
  14. P3 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  15. P3 14:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 13:32
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  17. P3 13:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  18. P3 13:00
    Stoppage - Offside
  19. P3 12:53
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  21. P3 12:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Tristan Jarry
  22. P3 12:04
    Giveaway by Devon Toews in offensive zone
  23. P3 11:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Devon Toews
  24. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Tristan Jarry
  25. P3 09:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  26. P3 09:40
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  27. P3 09:03
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  28. P3 08:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  29. P3 08:20
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  30. P3 08:17
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Josh Manson
  31. P3 07:52
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  32. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Parker Kelly shot blocked by Jake Walman
  33. P3 07:04
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  34. P3 06:15
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  35. P3 04:41
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  36. P3 04:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 04:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  38. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  39. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  40. P3 02:52
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  41. P3 02:52
    Stoppage - High Stick
  42. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  43. P3 00:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  44. P3 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 19:53
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  47. P2 19:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  48. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Tristan Jarry
  49. P2 19:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  50. P2 19:25
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  51. P2 19:25
    Oilers replaced goalie. (Tristan Jarry)
  52. P2 19:25
    Stoppage - Video Review
  53. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  54. P2 18:37
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  55. P2 18:34
    Shorthanded - Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  56. P2 18:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Connor Ingram
  57. P2 18:20
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  58. P2 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  59. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  60. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by teammate
  61. P2 16:27
    Stoppage - Offside
  62. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Parker Kelly shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  63. P2 15:28
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Connor Ingram
  64. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Cale Makar
  65. P2 14:34
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  66. P2 14:22
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  67. P2 14:22
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  68. P2 14:13
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  69. P2 14:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 13:07
    Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  71. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  72. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  73. P2 10:56
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  74. P2 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  75. P2 10:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  76. P2 09:44
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Savoie in defensive zone
  77. P2 09:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  79. P2 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  80. P2 08:01
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Jake Walman
  81. P2 07:47
    Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  82. P2 07:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  83. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  84. P2 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Murphy
  85. P2 05:18
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Josh Samanski in defensive zone
  86. P2 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  87. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  88. P2 04:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assisted by Darnell Nurse and Zach Hyman
    3-2
  89. P2 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Connor Ingram
  90. P2 03:22
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  91. P2 02:54
    Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
  92. P2 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zakhar Bardakov saved by Connor Ingram
  93. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  94. P2 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  95. P2 00:12
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  96. P2 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Roslovic assisted by Leon Draisaitl
    2-2
  99. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  100. P1 18:57
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  101. P1 18:50
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  102. P1 18:30
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  103. P1 17:57
    Giveaway by Connor Murphy in defensive zone
  104. P1 17:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Connor Ingram
  105. P1 17:19
    Penalty to Nicolas Roy 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Trent Frederic)
  106. P1 16:37
    Trent Frederic credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
  107. P1 16:26
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  108. P1 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Connor Ingram
  109. P1 16:00
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  110. P1 15:41
    Parker Kelly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  111. P1 15:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Martin Necas shot blocked by teammate
  112. P1 15:31
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  113. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Connor Ingram
  114. P1 15:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Martin Necas shot blocked by teammate
  115. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Connor Ingram
  116. P1 14:17
    Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  117. P1 13:01
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
  118. P1 12:37
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  119. P1 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kasperi Kapanen
  120. P1 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  121. P1 10:25
    Takeaway by Ross Colton in offensive zone
  122. P1 09:51
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Nazem Kadri
  123. P1 09:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  124. P1 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Dickinson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  125. P1 08:13
    Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  126. P1 07:34
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  127. P1 07:34
    Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
  128. P1 07:16
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  129. P1 06:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  130. P1 05:13
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  131. P1 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Connor Ingram
  132. P1 04:43
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  133. P1 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Connor Ingram
  134. P1 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  135. P1 02:05
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jake Walman
  136. P1 01:47
    SHOT
    Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  137. P1 01:23
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  138. P1 00:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ross Colton assisted by Brock Nelson
    0-1
  139. P1 00:15
    Ty Emberson credited with hit on Josh Manson in defensive zone
  140. P1 00:00
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Avalanche
24Shots on Goal29
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins26
22Hits11
22 Shots Blocked 8
21Giveaways15
OilersEDM
AvalancheCOL
24Shots on Goal29
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins26
22Hits11
22 Shots Blocked 8
21Giveaways15

Oilers vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers +160, Avalanche -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 39%
  • Avalanche: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 39%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.