Flames vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Capitals NHL game on March 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flames
3
7
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Flames
0 3 0 3
Capitals
3 0 4 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flames
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
0 3 0 3
Capitals
3 0 4 7
P3 19:44 Goal scored by Ryan Leonard
P3 19:06 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 18:46 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 16:19 Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 14:34 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 11:42 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P3 09:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Devin Cooley
P3 04:23 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Devin Cooley
P3 03:52 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Devin Cooley
P3 03:31 Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
P3 02:57 Flames shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 02:41 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
P3 01:31 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Tom Wilson
P3 01:20 Shot missed by Capitals
P2 19:33 Power play - Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
P2 18:15 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P2 18:08 Power play - Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P2 15:14 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Logan Thompson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:44
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Connor Zary in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Leonard
    3-7
  5. P3 19:06
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  6. P3 18:46
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  7. P3 17:14
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  9. P3 16:19
    SHOT
    Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  10. P3 14:34
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by teammate
  11. P3 14:25
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  12. P3 14:16
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  13. P3 14:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  14. P3 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  15. P3 11:42
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  16. P3 11:24
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  17. P3 11:15
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  18. P3 10:52
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  19. P3 10:39
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  20. P3 10:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  21. P3 09:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Devin Cooley
  22. P3 09:33
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  23. P3 09:22
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  24. P3 07:55
    Brayden Pachal credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
  25. P3 06:56
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in offensive zone
  26. P3 06:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  27. P3 05:42
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  28. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Devin Cooley
  29. P3 04:03
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  30. P3 03:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Devin Cooley
  31. P3 03:31
    SHOT
    Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
  32. P3 02:57
    SHOT
    Flames shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  33. P3 02:41
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
  34. P3 02:08
    Flames won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  35. P3 01:31
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  36. P3 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  37. P3 00:57
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  38. P3 00:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  39. P3 00:00
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
  42. P2 18:55
    Power play - Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  43. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  44. P2 18:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  45. P2 17:39
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  46. P2 17:32
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  47. P2 17:25
    Flames won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  48. P2 17:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  49. P2 15:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Logan Thompson
  50. P2 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  51. P2 14:22
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
  52. P2 14:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  53. P2 14:08
    Flames won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  54. P2 14:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  55. P2 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Devin Cooley
  56. P2 13:15
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Joel Hanley
  57. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Hanley
  58. P2 11:25
    Takeaway by Connor Zary in defensive zone
  59. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  60. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Logan Thompson
  61. P2 09:47
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  62. P2 09:30
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  63. P2 09:30
    Stoppage - High Stick
  64. P2 08:26
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  65. P2 08:03
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  66. P2 08:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  67. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Logan Thompson
  68. P2 06:36
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  69. P2 06:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Devin Cooley
  71. P2 05:29
    SHOT
    Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Declan Chisholm
  72. P2 03:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Devin Cooley
  73. P2 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  74. P2 03:12
    Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  75. P2 03:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  76. P2 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Devin Cooley
  77. P2 02:06
    Takeaway by Connor Zary in offensive zone
  78. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Strome
  79. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Brayden Pachal shot blocked by teammate
  80. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Logan Thompson
  81. P2 01:08
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Mikael Backlund
  82. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  83. P1 19:53
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  84. P1 19:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P1 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Logan Thompson
  86. P1 19:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Logan Thompson
  87. P1 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  88. P1 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  89. P1 17:43
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  90. P1 17:26
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  91. P1 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
  92. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  93. P1 16:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Devin Cooley
  94. P1 15:33
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
  95. P1 14:23
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Matt Roy
  96. P1 13:31
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
  97. P1 13:05
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  98. P1 13:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  99. P1 13:00
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Blake Coleman
  100. P1 12:59
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in offensive zone
  101. P1 12:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  102. P1 12:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Devin Cooley
  103. P1 12:08
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  104. P1 11:12
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  105. P1 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
  106. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
  107. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  108. P1 09:34
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  109. P1 09:13
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  110. P1 08:34
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  111. P1 08:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  112. P1 08:08
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in defensive zone
  113. P1 08:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
  115. P1 07:00
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  116. P1 07:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  117. P1 06:29
    Power play - Takeaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  118. P1 05:44
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Logan Thompson
  119. P1 04:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  120. P1 04:53
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Blake Coleman in offensive zone
  121. P1 04:53
    Penalty to Zayne Parekh 2 minutes for Misconduct
  122. P1 04:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P1 04:16
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  124. P1 03:10
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  125. P1 03:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  126. P1 02:46
    Flames won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  127. P1 02:23
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone
  128. P1 02:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  129. P1 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Devin Cooley
  130. P1 01:24
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  131. P1 01:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 00:17
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  133. P1 00:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stats
Flames
STATS
Capitals
26Shots on Goal29
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins0
15Hits20
13 Shots Blocked 22
16Giveaways19
FlamesCGY
CapitalsWSH
26Shots on Goal29
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins0
15Hits20
13 Shots Blocked 22
16Giveaways19

Flames vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Capitals
  • Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +165, Capitals -189

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 39%
  • Capitals: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 39%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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