Wild vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wild vs. Avalanche NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Wild
5
2
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Wild
0 2 3 5
Avalanche
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wild
    100%
  • Avalanche
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Wild
0 2 3 5
Avalanche
0 1 1 2
P3 19:49 Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 19:03 Goal scored by Martin Necas assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog
P3 18:26 Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 17:52 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nico Sturm
P3 17:15 Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Marcus Foligno
P3 16:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:38 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Matt Boldy (Empty Net)
P3 15:30 Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Jack Drury
P3 15:08 Goal scored by Mats Zuccarello assisted by Ryan Hartman
P3 14:19 Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
P3 14:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 13:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 12:30 Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 11:02 Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:24 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 08:51 Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:58 Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 06:09 Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by Filip Gustavsson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  3. P3 19:31
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:28
    Vincent Hinostroza won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  5. P3 19:03
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Martin Necas assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog
    4-2
  7. P3 18:26
    SHOT
    Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
  8. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nico Sturm
  9. P3 17:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Marcus Foligno
  10. P3 16:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  11. P3 16:38
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Marcus Foligno in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:38
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Matt Boldy (Empty Net)
    4-1
  13. P3 16:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  14. P3 16:12
    Penalty to Danila Yurov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brett Kulak)
  15. P3 16:12
    Wild won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  16. P3 15:30
    SHOT
    Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Jack Drury
  17. P3 15:08
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mats Zuccarello assisted by Ryan Hartman
    3-1
  19. P3 14:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
  20. P3 14:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Filip Gustavsson
  21. P3 13:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  22. P3 12:36
    Penalty to Nico Sturm 2 minutes for Tripping
  23. P3 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  24. P3 11:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  25. P3 11:06
    Wild won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  26. P3 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Filip Gustavsson
  27. P3 10:31
    Giveaway by Brent Burns in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  29. P3 09:46
    Ryan Hartman credited with hit on Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  30. P3 09:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Filip Gustavsson
  31. P3 08:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  32. P3 07:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  33. P3 07:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  34. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Filip Gustavsson
  35. P3 06:53
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  36. P3 06:43
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  37. P3 06:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  38. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by Filip Gustavsson
  39. P3 05:12
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  40. P3 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  41. P3 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  42. P3 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  43. P3 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  44. P3 02:45
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  45. P3 02:28
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  46. P3 02:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  47. P3 02:23
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  48. P3 02:02
    Ross Colton won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  49. P3 02:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Filip Gustavsson
  51. P3 01:51
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Danila Yurov in offensive zone
  52. P3 01:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devon Toews
  54. P3 01:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Filip Gustavsson
  55. P3 00:58
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  56. P3 00:43
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  57. P3 00:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  59. P2 19:39
    Ross Colton credited with hit on Jake Middleton in offensive zone
  60. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  61. P2 18:46
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  62. P2 18:46
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  63. P2 18:43
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by teammate
  64. P2 18:21
    Wild won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  65. P2 18:11
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by teammate
  66. P2 18:08
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  67. P2 17:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  68. P2 17:37
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  69. P2 17:37
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Joel Eriksson Ek assisted by Matt Boldy and Quinn Hughes
    2-1
  70. P2 17:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
  71. P2 16:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Boldy shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  72. P2 16:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  73. P2 16:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  74. P2 16:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  75. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  76. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Boldy shot blocked by Josh Manson
  77. P2 15:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  78. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  79. P2 15:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  80. P2 15:04
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  81. P2 15:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  82. P2 14:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  83. P2 14:15
    Penalty to Gabriel Landeskog 2 minutes for Elbowing (Drawn by Joel Eriksson Ek)
  84. P2 13:40
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  85. P2 13:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  86. P2 13:30
    Wild won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  87. P2 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Filip Gustavsson
  88. P2 10:43
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
  89. P2 10:38
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Marcus Foligno
  90. P2 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Filip Gustavsson
  91. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  92. P2 09:59
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  93. P2 09:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Brock Nelson shot blocked by Brock Faber
  95. P2 09:15
    Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
  96. P2 08:40
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Danila Yurov in offensive zone
  97. P2 08:30
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
  98. P2 07:48
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
  99. P2 07:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Filip Gustavsson
  100. P2 06:49
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  101. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  102. P2 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yakov Trenin
  103. P2 06:34
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  104. P2 06:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  105. P2 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Filip Gustavsson
  106. P2 05:03
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  107. P2 05:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  108. P2 04:32
    SHOT
    Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Brent Burns
  109. P2 03:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P2 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Hinostroza saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  111. P2 03:03
    SHOT
    Brock Faber shot blocked by Parker Kelly
  112. P2 03:00
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  113. P2 01:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Middleton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  114. P2 01:09
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  115. P2 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  116. P2 01:06
    SHOT
    Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by teammate
  117. P2 00:00
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  118. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  119. P1 19:36
    Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Jake Middleton in defensive zone
  120. P1 19:25
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  121. P1 19:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  122. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  123. P1 18:32
    Parker Kelly credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
  124. P1 18:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yakov Trenin
  125. P1 18:13
    SHOT
    Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
  126. P1 18:02
    Cale Makar credited with hit on Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  127. P1 17:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Filip Gustavsson
  128. P1 17:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  129. P1 16:16
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
  130. P1 16:13
    Wild won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  131. P1 15:39
    SHOT
    Vincent Hinostroza shot blocked by Jack Drury
  132. P1 15:30
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Vincent Hinostroza in neutral zone
  133. P1 15:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Filip Gustavsson
  134. P1 14:26
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
  135. P1 14:07
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  136. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
  137. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Filip Gustavsson
  138. P1 12:13
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  139. P1 12:03
    Matt Boldy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  140. P1 12:03
    Penalty to Gabriel Landeskog 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Ryan Hartman)
  141. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  142. P1 11:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  143. P1 11:42
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  144. P1 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  145. P1 11:33
    Power play - Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  146. P1 10:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  147. P1 09:44
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  148. P1 09:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  150. P1 09:38
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  151. P1 09:38
    Penalty to Josh Manson 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Joel Eriksson Ek)
  152. P1 09:21
    SHOT
    Marcus Johansson shot blocked by Brent Burns
  153. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Filip Gustavsson
  154. P1 08:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  155. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Filip Gustavsson
  156. P1 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Filip Gustavsson
  157. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  158. P1 05:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Filip Gustavsson
  159. P1 04:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Filip Gustavsson
  160. P1 04:41
    Penalty to Daemon Hunt 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brock Nelson)
  161. P1 04:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  162. P1 04:19
    Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov in defensive zone
  163. P1 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
  164. P1 03:26
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  165. P1 03:20
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  166. P1 03:20
    Stoppage - Offside
  167. P1 02:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  168. P1 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Filip Gustavsson
  169. P1 02:13
    Yakov Trenin credited with hit on Jack Drury in offensive zone
  170. P1 02:00
    Takeaway by Yakov Trenin in neutral zone
  171. P1 00:37
    Martin Necas credited with hit on Matt Boldy in offensive zone
  172. P1 00:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  173. P1 00:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  174. P1 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Filip Gustavsson
  175. P1 00:00
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Brock Nelson
  176. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Wild
STATS
Avalanche
36Shots on Goal47
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins12
24Hits24
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways19
WildMIN
AvalancheCOL
36Shots on Goal47
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins12
24Hits24
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways19

Wild vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wild vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Wild +138, Avalanche -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wild: 41%
  • Avalanche: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 41%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wild vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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