Jets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Lightning NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Jets
1
4
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Jets
0 1 0 1
Lightning
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jets
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
0 1 0 1
Lightning
1 2 1 4
P3 17:29 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:58 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 15:22 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 14:17 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 14:01 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 13:53 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 11:05 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 09:33 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P3 08:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:59 Dylan DeMelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 05:14 Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 05:05 Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:25 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:39 Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 02:34 Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:58 Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P2 16:41 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
P2 16:31 Shot missed by Max Crozier
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:52
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  3. P3 17:29
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
  4. P3 17:16
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  5. P3 17:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  6. P3 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  7. P3 16:09
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  8. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  9. P3 15:24
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  10. P3 15:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P3 15:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  12. P3 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  13. P3 14:03
    Tanner Pearson won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  14. P3 14:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  15. P3 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  16. P3 13:54
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  17. P3 13:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  18. P3 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  19. P3 13:32
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  20. P3 13:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 13:00
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  22. P3 13:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  23. P3 12:28
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  24. P3 12:11
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  25. P3 11:18
    Max Crozier credited with hit on Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  26. P3 11:08
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  27. P3 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  28. P3 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  29. P3 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  30. P3 09:25
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  31. P3 08:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 07:05
    Power play - Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  33. P3 07:05
    Stoppage - Offside
  34. P3 06:41
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  35. P3 06:11
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  36. P3 06:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  37. P3 05:59
    SHOT
    Dylan DeMelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  38. P3 05:14
    SHOT
    Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  39. P3 05:05
    SHOT
    Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  40. P3 04:39
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  41. P3 03:44
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  42. P3 03:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  43. P3 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  44. P3 02:39
    SHOT
    Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  45. P3 02:36
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  46. P3 02:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 01:04
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 00:29
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  50. P3 00:00
    Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:47
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  53. P2 19:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  54. P2 19:24
    Jets won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  55. P2 19:09
    Jets won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  56. P2 19:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  57. P2 17:04
    Alex Iafallo credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  58. P2 17:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Cole Perfetti in defensive zone
  59. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  60. P2 16:43
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P2 16:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  63. P2 16:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  64. P2 16:27
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  65. P2 16:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  66. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  67. P2 15:17
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  68. P2 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  69. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  70. P2 12:25
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  71. P2 12:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kyle Connor
    1-2
  72. P2 11:22
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  73. P2 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  74. P2 10:24
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:24
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  76. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  77. P2 07:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  79. P2 07:30
    Vladislav Namestnikov credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  80. P2 07:20
    Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  81. P2 06:08
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
  82. P2 06:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  83. P2 05:01
    Erik Cernak credited with hit on Gabriel Vilardi in defensive zone
  84. P2 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  85. P2 04:30
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  86. P2 04:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P2 04:02
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  88. P2 02:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  89. P2 02:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Elias Salomonsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P2 02:17
    Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  91. P2 02:11
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
  92. P2 01:37
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  93. P2 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  94. P2 01:08
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  95. P2 00:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Connor Hellebuyck
  96. P2 00:00
    Dominic James won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 18:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  99. P1 18:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  100. P1 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  101. P1 15:38
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  102. P1 15:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Koepke
  104. P1 14:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dominic James assisted by Darren Raddysh and J.J. Moser
    0-1
  105. P1 14:02
    Jets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  106. P1 14:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  107. P1 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  108. P1 10:47
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  109. P1 10:47
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  110. P1 10:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  111. P1 09:02
    Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  112. P1 09:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  114. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  115. P1 08:01
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  116. P1 08:01
    Stoppage - Offside
  117. P1 07:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  118. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  119. P1 06:28
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  120. P1 05:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  121. P1 05:10
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  122. P1 05:03
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  123. P1 05:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 04:45
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  125. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Salomonsson
  126. P1 04:08
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  127. P1 04:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  128. P1 03:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  129. P1 03:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 01:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  131. P1 00:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P1 00:00
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Dominic James
  133. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Jets
STATS
Lightning
23Shots on Goal37
48% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
29Hits18
13 Shots Blocked 9
15Giveaways17
JetsWPG
LightningTB
23Shots on Goal37
48% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
29Hits18
13 Shots Blocked 9
15Giveaways17

Jets vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jets vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Jets +158, Lightning -184

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jets: 39%
  • Lightning: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 39%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jets vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.