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Zizou Bergs vs. Alexander Zverev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Bergs vs Zverev predictions for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters.
Zizou Bergs and Alexander Zverev will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the Bergs vs. Zverev match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bergs vs. Zverev prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Bergs-Zverev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Zverev a 77% chance of defeating Bergs at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additionally, Zverev has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bergs (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Zizou Bergs vs. Alexander Zverev odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bergs | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +365 | -450 |
| First Set | +250 | -333 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-118) | -4.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-105) | u21.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bergs vs. Zverev picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bergs | +365 |
| First Set | Zverev | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bergs vs. Zverev updates and essential details
The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Zizou Bergs and Alexander Zverev is scheduled to start on Thursday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Zizou Bergs vs. Alexander Zverev
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Zverev, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Zizou Bergs at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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