May 23, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, May 23, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Saturday's best props include Caitlin Clark [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for May 23, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Jade Melbourne.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Valkyries vs. Fever and Sun vs. Storm, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop picks for Saturday, 5/22
Below are the top 8 WNBA player props for May 22, ranked by probability.
Caitlin Clark over 2.5 rebounds (+235)
- Edge: 34.4%
- Probability: 64.3%
- Projection: 5.2
- Game: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Indiana's Caitlin Clark over 2.5 rebounds. A probability of 64.3% gives this play an edge of 34.4% at +235 odds.
Kelsey Mitchell over 16.5 points scored (-110)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 60.3%
- Projection: 21.7
- Game: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Kelsey Mitchell’s points scored prop shows a 7.9% edge at -110 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 21.7 points scored on the over 16.5 line.
Caitlin Clark under 22.5 points scored (-118)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Projection: 17.8
- Game: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Caitlin Clark under 22.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 59.5% probability and a 5.4% edge at -118.
Jade Melbourne over 2.5 assists (-110)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 59.0%
- Projection: 4.1
- Game: Sun vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jade Melbourne to put up 4.1 assists today, creating an edge of 6.6% on the over 2.5 line at -110 odds.
Flau'jae Johnson over 10.5 points scored (-113)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Projection: 13.0
- Game: Sun vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Flau'jae Johnson over 10.5 points scored for Seattle, showing an edge of 2.3% at -113 odds.
Flau'jae Johnson under 4.5 rebounds (+130)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Sun vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Flau'jae Johnson’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 8.2% at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.2 today.
Caitlin Clark over 9.5 assists (+144)
- Edge: 0.6%
- Probability: 41.6%
- Projection: 8.0
- Game: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Caitlin Clark for 8.0 assists for Indiana, creating an edge of 0.6% on over 9.5 at +144 odds.
Caitlin Clark over 4.5 3-pointers made (+410)
- Edge: 16.8%
- Probability: 36.4%
- Projection: 3.2
- Game: Valkyries vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Caitlin Clark for 3.2 3-pointers made, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +410 odds and a 16.8% edge.
WNBA player prop summary: Friday, May 22, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valkyries vs. Fever | Caitlin Clark over 2.5 rebounds | +235 @ FanDuel | 34.4% | 64.3% |
| Valkyries vs. Fever | Kelsey Mitchell over 16.5 points scored | -110 @ FanDuel | 7.9% | 60.3% |
| Valkyries vs. Fever | Caitlin Clark under 22.5 points scored | -118 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 59.0% |
| Sun vs. Storm | Jade Melbourne over 2.5 assists | -110 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 59.0% |
| Sun vs. Storm | Flau'jae Johnson over 10.5 points scored | -113 @ FanDuel | 2.3% | 55.3% |
| Sun vs. Storm | Flau'jae Johnson under 4.5 rebounds | +130 @ FanDuel | 8.2% | 51.7% |
| Valkyries vs. Fever | Caitlin Clark over 9.5 assists | +144 @ FanDuel | 0.6% | 41.6% |
| Valkyries vs. Fever | Caitlin Clark over 4.5 3-pointers made | +410 @ FanDuel | 16.8% | 36.4% |
Conclusion
For May 22, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Jade Melbourne. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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