WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, July 19, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/19.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, July 19, 2026—are live with the Mercury's Kahleah Copper projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Copper, Brittney Griner and Kamilla Cardoso lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 19, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 16.0% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 15.4% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.5% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.0% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 12.4% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.8% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.7% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 9.3% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.1% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 8.0% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 8.0% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.0% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 7.9% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.8% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 7.4% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.1% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.4% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.8% |

WNBA first basket picks today (July 19, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 5.8% | +1300 | 13.0% |
| Kahleah Copper | Mercury | 2.7% | +650 | 16.0% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 0.6% | +750 | 12.4% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 0.0% | +1180 | 7.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/19.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, July 19, 2026, Kahleah Copper, Brittney Griner and Kamilla Cardoso lead our first basket projections, while Sydney Taylor shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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