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Jets vs. Sharks prediction: Winnipeg favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/1/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Winnipeg Jets vs San Jose Sharks predictions for NHL Sunday.

Winnipeg Jets-San Jose Sharks Predictions and Game Preview.
Winnipeg Jets vs. San Jose Sharks NHL prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026.

The San Jose Sharks will take on the Winnipeg Jets, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at SAP Center at San Jose on Sunday, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Jets a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Sharks.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Jets vs. Sharks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Jets vs. Sharks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Jets and Sharks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Jets a 53% chance of defeating the Sharks.

According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Jets vs. Sharks odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Jets Sharks
Puck Line -1.5 (+205) +1.5 (-250)
Moneyline -120 +100
Total o6 (-102) u6 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jets vs. Sharks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Jets -1.5 +205
Moneyline Jets -120
Total Over 6 -102

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Jets vs. Sharks player props

Who will score a goal in Jets vs. Sharks?

According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Jets vs. Sharks.

Our projections give Connor a 41.2% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is an 8.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Kyle Connor 41.2%
Mark Scheifele 40.4%
Gabriel Vilardi 36.3%
Cole Perfetti 29.2%
Jonathan Toews 21.0%

San Jose Sharks

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Macklin Celebrini 39.5%
Will Smith 32.8%
Tyler Toffoli 32.6%
Kiefer Sherwood 20.6%
William Eklund 18.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

Player First Goal Probability
Mark Scheifele 9.0%
Kyle Connor 8.9%
Gabriel Vilardi 7.5%
Cole Perfetti 5.5%
Jonathan Toews 3.3%

San Jose Sharks

Player First Goal Probability
Macklin Celebrini 7.8%
Tyler Toffoli 6.2%
Will Smith 6.1%
Kiefer Sherwood 3.5%
Michael Misa 3.0%

Jets vs. Sharks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Sharks and Jets at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Sharks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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