Venus Williams vs. Mary Stoiana prediction, odds, picks for WTA Hong Kong Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Williams-Stoiana women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Stoiana an 80% chance of winning against Williams at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament. Additionally, Stoiana has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Williams (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 18.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Mary Stoiana -585, Venus Williams +440
• First Set: Williams +333, Stoiana -455

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Williams @ +440 via DraftKings
• First Set: Stoiana @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 18.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Hong Kong Open match between Venus Williams and Mary Stoiana is scheduled to commence on Monday at 5:30 AM ET.

• Who: Venus Williams vs. Mary Stoiana
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30 AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Hong Kong, Hong Kong Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Mary Stoiana, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Venus Williams at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.