Portugal vs. Uzbekistan prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Portugal and Uzbekistan, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates an 80.4% chance of Portugal winning, a 6.2% chance for Uzbekistan, and a 13.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 61.5% chance of staying under, with a 59.6% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Portugal holds a 51.9% probability to win without conceding, with Uzbekistan at 3.3%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Portugal to win or draw at 93.8%.

Uzbekistan vs. Portugal odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Portugal	Uzbekistan	Draw
-700	+1900	+775

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+125	-144

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Uzbekistan @ +775 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -144 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Uzbekistan @ +1900 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Uzbekistan or Draw @ +490 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +170 via BetMGM

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Uzbekistan to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Portugal win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Portugal 2-0 Uzbekistan	14.2%
Portugal 3-0 Uzbekistan	12.2%
Portugal 1-0 Uzbekistan	11.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 40.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 59.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Portugal-Uzbekistan:

Portugal

• Cristiano Ronaldo: 49.8% probability
• Joao Felix: 36.0% probability
• Bruno Fernandes: 28.4% probability
• Francisco Conceicao: 24.9% probability
• Joao Neves: 15.9% probability

Uzbekistan

• Eldor Shomurodov: 10.7% probability
• Oston Urunov: 7.4% probability
• Abbosbek Fayzullaev: 7.2% probability
• Otabek Shukurov: 4.4% probability
• Akmal Mozgovoy: 3.4% probability

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's soccer World Cup matchup between Portugal and Uzbekistan at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan
• Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Portugal has an 80.4% win probability on Tuesday, Uzbekistan has a 6.2% win probability, and there is a 13.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.