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Türkiye vs. Australia 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Türkiye vs Australia FIFA World Cup game.
Türkiye and Australia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at BC Place on Sunday, June 14.
In this Group D clash, Australia make their sixth consecutive World Cup appearance, while Türkiye return for just a third time after finishing third in 2002.
With 53 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors Türkiye to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive Australia vs. Türkiye page and World Cup predictions hub.
Türkiye vs. Australia early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Türkiye vs. Australia game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Türkiye 53.1%, Draw 24.7%, Australia 22.2%
- Total goals (): Over 0%, Under 0%
- Both teams to score: Yes 50%, No 50%
- Most likely final score: Australia 0-1 Türkiye (12.3%)
As of April 22, 2026, these Australia-Türkiye figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Türkiye vs. Australia World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Australia and Türkiye is scheduled for June 14, 2026, with the two teams starting their campaigns in what is set to be the largest World Cup in history.
- Teams: Australia vs. Türkiye
- Tournament stage: Group D
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: BC Place
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Türkiye vs. Australia latest odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group D game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Türkiye -115, Australia +330, Draw +240
Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.
Australia vs. Türkiye picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Türkiye | -115 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Türkiye to win.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Türkiye's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
Australia vs. Türkiye: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Türkiye win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Australia 0-1 Türkiye | 12.3% |
| Australia 1-1 Türkiye | 11.7% |
| Australia 0-2 Türkiye | 10% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.5% chance of both Australia and Türkiye finding the net and a 50.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: Australia vs. Türkiye prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Türkiye to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Australia to win as the least likely result..
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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