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Blues vs. Flames prediction: Why St. Louis is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St. Louis Blues vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Wednesday.
NHL action continues on Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET as the St. Louis Blues lock horns with the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Blues a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Flames.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Blues vs. Flames matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Blues vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Blues and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Blues a 54% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Blues vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 (-225) |
| Moneyline | -140 | +120 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blues -1.5 | +185 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +120 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Flames?
According to our model, Dylan Holloway is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Flames.
Our projections give Holloway a 34.7% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 7.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 34.7% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 27.8% |
| Robert Thomas | 26.3% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 25.0% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 22.3% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 24.2% |
| Victor Olofsson | 23.8% |
| Morgan Frost | 22.6% |
| Matthew Coronato | 22.4% |
| Blake Coleman | 20.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 7.1% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 5.9% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 5.3% |
| Robert Thomas | 4.9% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 4.7% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.7% |
| Victor Olofsson | 4.2% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.1% |
| Morgan Frost | 4.0% |
| Matvei Gridin | 3.8% |
Blues vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Flames and Blues at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blues vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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