Jun 22, 2026
Sadio Mane's predicted stats vs. Norway, including anytime goal projection
Read Article Norway vs. Senegal prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Norway vs Senegal predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
Norway and Senegal will lock horns in Group I of the World Cup 2026 at MetLife Stadium on Monday, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Norway as the most likely winner of the Norway vs. Senegal game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Norway vs. Senegal prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 game between Norway and Senegal, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 43.6% chance of Norway winning, a 31.3% chance for Senegal, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over, with a 56.0% chance that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Norway holds a 22.3% probability to win without conceding, with Senegal at 15.5%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Norway or Senegal at 74.9%.
Senegal vs. Norway odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Norway | Senegal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +235 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | -104 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Norway vs. Senegal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Senegal @ +235 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Win to Nil: Senegal @ +475 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Norway or Senegal @ -330 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ +120 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Senegal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Senegal's odds provide the best value right now.
Norway vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Norway 1-1 Senegal | 11.9% |
| Norway 1-0 Senegal | 9.5% |
| Norway 2-1 Senegal | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Norway vs. Senegal player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Norway-Senegal:
Norway
- Erling Haaland: 39.4% probability
- Alexander Sorloth: 21.8% probability
- Antonio Nusa: 15.4% probability
- Martin Odegaard: 10.6% probability
- Fredrik Aursnes: 7.3% probability
Senegal
- Nicolas Jackson: 20.7% probability
- Sadio Mane: 19.0% probability
- Ismaila Sarr: 15.1% probability
- Pape Gueye: 9.6% probability
- Lamine Camara: 9.5% probability
Norway vs. Senegal game-day updates and essential details
Monday's soccer World Cup game between Norway and Senegal at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Norway vs. Senegal
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Norway has a 43.6% win probability on Monday, Senegal has a 31.3% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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