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Sebastian Baez vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Baez vs Wawrinka predictions for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters.
Sebastian Baez will square off with Stan Wawrinka in the round of 64 at the ATP Monte Carlo event on Monday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the Baez vs. Wawrinka match.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baez vs. Wawrinka prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Baez-Wawrinka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Baez a 68% chance of winning against Wawrinka at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additionally, Baez has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Wawrinka (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Sebastian Baez vs. Stan Wawrinka odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baez | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -250 | +235 |
| First Set | -200 | +162 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-132) | +3.5 (+100) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-120) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baez vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wawrinka | +235 |
| First Set | Wawrinka | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Stan Wawrinka to win.
Although Wawrinka is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Baez vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details
The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Sebastian Baez and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to commence on Monday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Stan Wawrinka
- Date: Monday, April 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Wawrinka insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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