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Spurs vs. Pelicans prediction: San Antonio favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/8/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 8:00PM ET as the San Antonio Spurs lock horns with the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Trey Murphy, Jeremiah Fears and Saddiq Bey, while the Spurs will rely on De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 74% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 122-114.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+8.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-110) | +8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -340 | +310 |
| Total | o238.5 (-105) | u238.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +310 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +8.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Spurs vs. Pelicans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 23 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 43 |
| Devin Vassell | 16 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| Stephon Castle | 15 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 34 |
| Harrison Barnes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 27 |
| Dylan Harper | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 22 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 41 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Saddiq Bey | 16 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Derik Queen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 34 |
| Jose Alvarado | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Spurs vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Pelicans and Spurs at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Monday, December 8, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Monday, with De'Aaron Fox projected for a game-high 43 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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