May 28, 2026
Moise Kouame vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026
Read Article Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Jodar vs Carreno Busta predictions for French Open 2026.
Rafael Jodar will take on Pablo Carreno Busta in the fourth round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Jodar vs. Carreno Busta match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Jodar vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Jodar-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Jodar a 78% chance of beating Carreno Busta in the French Open 2026.
Additionally, Jodar has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Carreno Busta (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jodar | Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -455 | +350 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | -6.5 (-112) | +6.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o35.5 (-110) | u35.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jodar vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carreno Busta | +350 |
| First Set | Carreno Busta | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Pablo Carreno Busta to win.
Although Carreno Busta is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jodar vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details
The French Open 2026 match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure
