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Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech) 2026
Get Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli predictions for ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech).

Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli are scheduled to meet in the semifinals of the ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech) event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Jodar-Ugo Carabelli men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Jodar a 62% chance of defeating Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech) tournament.
Additionally, Jodar has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ugo Carabelli (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jodar | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -211 | +180 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-112) | +3.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-120) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | +180 |
| First Set | Ugo Carabelli | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
Although Ugo Carabelli is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli updates and essential details
The ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech) match between Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli is scheduled to start on Saturday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Marrakech, Morocco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Grand Prix Hassan II (ATP Marrakech) tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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