Pirates vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Sunday.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Game Preview.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026.

The Toronto Blue Jays and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Sunday, starting at 12:15 PM ET.

Dylan Cease (3-2, 2.98 ERA) will get the ball for the Blue Jays, pitting him against Mitch Keller (4-2, 3.86 ERA) for the Pirates.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of the Pirates vs. Blue Jays game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Pirates vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Pirates and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 61% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Pirates vs. Blue Jays odds [5/24/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Pirates Blue Jays
Run Line +1.5 (-155) -1.5 (+130)
Moneyline +139 -164
Total o7.5 (-110) u7.5 (-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Blue Jays -1.5 +130
Moneyline Blue Jays -164
Total Over 7.5 -110

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Pirates vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Pirates at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 12:15 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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