Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Mar 2, 2023

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the Pittsburgh Penguins take on the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.

Dimers' best betting picks for Penguins vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Penguins vs. Lightning?

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Penguins-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Penguins.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Penguins vs. Lightning

Penguins vs. Lightning Current Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+150), Penguins +1.5 (-165)
• Moneyline: Lightning -160, Penguins +145
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-105/+100)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites versus the Penguins, with +150 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -165.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -160. That means you can risk $160 to win $100, for a total payout of $260, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at +145, where you can bet $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) are a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Free Bet Tracker

Best Bets for Penguins vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM (63% probability)
• Moneyline: Penguins @ +145 via BetMGM (0.3% edge)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +100 via BetMGM (51% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you make smarter decisions with the legal sportsbooks in America.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Penguins moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Penguins-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Penguins vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Penguins vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Penguins and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Kucherov a 7.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 38.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Jake Guentzel: 5.9% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 5.7% probability
• Rickard Rakell: 5.1% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 4.9% probability
• Bryan Rust: 3.9% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 7.4% probability
• Brayden Point: 7.2% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 6.9% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Jake Guentzel: 32.4% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 32.2% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 28.8% probability
• Rickard Rakell: 28.7% probability
• Bryan Rust: 24.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 38.9% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 36.8% probability
• Brayden Point: 36.6% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 24.6% probability
• Alex Killorn: 22.3% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Penguins vs. Lightning on Thursday March 2, 2023.

Penguins vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Thursday's game between the Lightning and Penguins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Thursday March 2, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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What other NHL games are on tonight?

The Penguins and Lightning aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single NHL matchup in our NHL Bet Hub page.

Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out now!