Türkiye vs. Paraguay prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Turkey and Paraguay, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 49.0% chance of Turkey winning, a 25.4% chance for Paraguay, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 50.5% chance that both teams find the net. In the win to nil market, Türkiye holds a 28.0% probability to win without conceding, with Paraguay at 13.8%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Türkiye to win or draw at 74.6%.

Paraguay vs. Türkiye odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Turkey	Paraguay	Draw
+105	+285	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+110	-130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Turkey vs. Paraguay picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Türkiye @ +105 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +110 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Türkiye @ +220 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Türkiye or Paraguay @ -320 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Türkiye to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Türkiye's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Turkey vs. Paraguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Türkiye 1-1 Paraguay	12.2%
Türkiye 1-0 Paraguay	11.8%
Türkiye 2-1 Paraguay	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.5% chance of both Turkey and Paraguay finding the net and a 49.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Turkey vs. Paraguay player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Türkiye-Paraguay:

Turkey

• Kerem Akturkoglu: 22.0% probability
• Arda Guler: 19.6% probability
• Kenan Yildiz: 19.2% probability
• Yunus Akgun: 14.6% probability
• Hakan Calhanoglu: 13.4% probability

Paraguay

• Isidro Pitta: 17.3% probability
• Julio Enciso: 16.0% probability
• Miguel Almiron: 12.9% probability
• Diego Gomez: 9.8% probability
• Matias Galarza: 7.6% probability

Türkiye vs. Paraguay game-day updates and essential details

Friday's FIFA World Cup game between Turkey and Paraguay at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Turkey vs. Paraguay
• Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Levi's Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

DraftKings promo for Turkey vs. Paraguay

If you're looking to get money down on Turkey or Paraguay, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.

Sports trading deal available for the big game

To make the most of Friday's massive day of sports, headlined by the huge USMNT-Australia matchup, check out details on the latest Polymarket offer code that scores you a $50 trading bonus from a $20 deposit. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Turkey has a 49.0% win probability on Friday, Paraguay has a 25.4% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.