Germany vs. Paraguay prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Get Germany vs Paraguay predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
Germany and Paraguay will lock horns in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at Gillette Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Germany as the most likely winner of the Germany vs. Paraguay game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Germany vs. Paraguay prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Our independent predictive model suggests a 67.8% chance of Germany winning, a 12.8% chance for Paraguay, and a 19.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.7% chance of going over, with a 52.6% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Germany holds a 40.2% probability to win without conceding, with Paraguay given a 6.7% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Germany to win or draw at 87.2%.
A quick reminder: standard World Cup markets apply to 90 minutes of regulation play only, excluding extra time unless stated otherwise. This differs from sports like the NBA, where overtime is typically included.
Paraguay vs. Germany odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Germany | Paraguay | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -275 | +850 | +400 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -140 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Germany vs. Paraguay picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Paraguay @ +850 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +116 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Paraguay @ +1000 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Paraguay or Draw @ +220 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +110 via BetMGM
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Paraguay to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Paraguay's odds provide the best value right now.
Germany vs. Paraguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Germany win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Germany 2-0 Paraguay | 12.4% |
| Germany 1-0 Paraguay | 11.9% |
| Germany 2-1 Paraguay | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 52.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Germany vs. Paraguay player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Germany-Paraguay:
Germany
- Kai Havertz: 34.9% probability
- Jamal Musiala: 26.4% probability
- Florian Wirtz: 26.3% probability
- Leroy Sane: 23.0% probability
- Felix Nmecha: 13.0% probability
Paraguay
- Gabriel Avalos: 11.6% probability
- Julio Enciso: 11.5% probability
- Miguel Almiron: 8.1% probability
- Mauricio : 7.4% probability
- Matias Galarza: 5.8% probability
Germany vs. Paraguay game-day updates and essential details
Monday's soccer World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Germany vs. Paraguay
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Germany has a 67.8% win probability on Monday, Paraguay has a 12.8% win probability, and there is a 19.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
