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Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Osasuna will square off with Athletic Bilbao in La Liga action at Estadio El Sadar on Saturday, commencing at 10:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model projects Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 33.5% chance of Osasuna winning, a 37.6% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 28.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 62% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Osasuna | Athletic Bilbao | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +215 | +155 | +200 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +142 | -176 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Osasuna | +215 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -176 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Osasuna to win.
Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| OSA 1-1 ATB | 13.4% |
| OSA 0-1 ATB | 12.5% |
| OSA 1-0 ATB | 11.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.1% chance that both Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao score, and a 54.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga matchup between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao at Estadio El Sadar is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Osasuna has a 33.5% win probability on Saturday, Athletic Bilbao has a 37.6% win probability, and there is a 28.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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