Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on January 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
:
1
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
R. Garcia (34')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces N. Williams
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces V. Rosier
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces A. Oroz
  4. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. Herrando (Osasuna) cautioned
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces R. Garcia
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card
    A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by R. Navarro
    1-1
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
  11. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces I. Williams
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
  15. 53'
    Yellow Card
    A. Boiro (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  16. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia
    0-1
  17. 9'
    Yellow Card
    A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +205, Athletic Bilbao +165, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 32.9%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 37.5%
  • Draw: 29.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.5%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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