Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on January 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
:
1
Jan 3, 10:15 AM ET Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Jan 3, 10:15 AM ET Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
R. Garcia (34')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces N. Williams
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces V. Rosier
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces A. Oroz
77'
Yellow Card
J. Herrando (Osasuna) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces R. Garcia
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
73'
Yellow Card
A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by R. Navarro
1-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
67'
Yellow Card
J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces I. Williams
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
53'
Yellow Card
A. Boiro (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +205, Athletic Bilbao +165, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 32.9%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 37.5%
  • Draw: 29.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.5%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Osasuna vs. Athletic Bilbao, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.