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Rangers vs. Jets prediction: Why Winnipeg is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [3/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Rangers vs Winnipeg Jets predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Winnipeg Jets and NY Rangers will lock horns in the NHL at Canada Life Centre on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Jets as the most likely winner of the Rangers vs. Jets game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Rangers vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Rangers and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Jets a 56% chance of defeating the Rangers.
According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Rangers vs. Jets odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rangers | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-196) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -150 |
| Total | o5.5 (-106) | u5.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rangers vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Rangers +1.5 | -196 |
| Moneyline | Rangers | +130 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -106 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rangers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rangers vs. Jets player props
Who will score a goal in Rangers vs. Jets?
According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Rangers vs. Jets.
Our projections give Connor a 41.3% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad | 30.7% |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 29.1% |
| Will Cuylle | 24.0% |
| Gabe Perreault | 21.6% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 21.2% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 41.3% |
| Mark Scheifele | 40.9% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 31.7% |
| Cole Perfetti | 29.0% |
| Josh Morrissey | 18.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alexis Lafreniere | 6.2% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 5.9% |
| Will Cuylle | 4.7% |
| Gabe Perreault | 4.3% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 4.2% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | 8.6% |
| Kyle Connor | 8.3% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 6.7% |
| Cole Perfetti | 5.7% |
| Josh Morrissey | 3.5% |
Rangers vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Jets and Rangers at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Rangers vs. Winnipeg Jets
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Canada Life Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Jets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rangers vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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