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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Hawks favored to win Friday's AFL Round 21 matchup [7/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos predictions for AFL Friday.
AFL action continues on Friday at 11:35 PM ET as the North Melbourne Kangaroos take on the favored Hawthorn Hawks at York Park.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner in this Kangaroos vs. Hawks prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 21 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Kangaroos and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks an 88.3% chance of beating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+41.5) have a 54.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 180.5-point over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under,.
North Melbourne vs. Hawthorn odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +650 | -1250 |
| Line (Spread) | +41.5 (-115) | -41.5 (-115) |
| Total | o180.5 (-115) | u180.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kangaroos vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kangaroos +41.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Kangaroos | +650 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kangaroos +41.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Kangaroos at York Park is scheduled to begin at 11:35 PM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 11:35 PM ET/8:35PM PT
- Venue: York Park
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with an 88.3% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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