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NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Reed Sheppard [1/29/2026]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 29, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Reed Sheppard, Luguentz Dort and Anthony Edwards.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Rockets vs. Hawks and Heat vs. Bulls, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Thursday, 1/29
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 29, ranked by edge.
Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+168)
- Edge: 13.4%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Rockets vs. Hawks (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Houston's Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals. A probability of 50.7% gives this play an edge of 13.4% at +168 odds.
Luguentz Dort over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 13.3%
- Probability: 47.3%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Luguentz Dort’s steals prop shows a 13.3% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 12.7%
- Probability: 46.7%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.7% probability and a 12.7% edge at +194.
Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals (+179)
- Edge: 12.3%
- Probability: 48.1%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Hornets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
Our model projects Cooper Flagg to put up 1.4 steals today, creating an edge of 12.3% on the over 1.5 line at +179 odds.
Naz Reid over 2.5 3-pointers made (+135)
- Edge: 12.1%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Projection: 2.9
- Game: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Naz Reid over 2.5 3-pointers made for Minnesota, showing an edge of 12.1% at +135 odds.
Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks (+176)
- Edge: 11.7%
- Probability: 47.9%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Hornets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
Daniel Gafford’s blocks prop shows an edge of 11.7% at +176 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.
Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals (+171)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 48.1%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Nets vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Peyton Watson for 1.4 steals for Denver, creating an edge of 11.2% on over 1.5 at +171 odds.
Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks (+178)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 47.1%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Pistons vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Mark Williams for 1.2 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 11.1% edge.
Julius Randle over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 45.1%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
An 11.1% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Julius Randle a value play in Thunder vs. Timberwolves, with our model projecting him for 1.1 steals at +194 odds.
P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks (+175)
- Edge: 11.0%
- Probability: 47.4%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Hornets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
Simulations project P.J. Washington for 1.2 blocks here, creating a 11.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +175 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, January 29, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:53PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals | +168 @ DraftKings | 13.4% | 50.7% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Luguentz Dort over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 13.3% | 47.3% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 12.3% | 48.1% |
| Hornets vs. Mavericks | Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals | +179 @ DraftKings | 12.3% | 48.1% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Naz Reid over 2.5 3-pointers made | +135 @ BetMGM | 12.1% | 54.7% |
| Hornets vs. Mavericks | Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks | +176 @ DraftKings | 11.7% | 47.9% |
| Nets vs. Nuggets | Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals | +171 @ DraftKings | 11.2% | 48.1% |
| Pistons vs. Suns | Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks | +178 @ FanDuel | 11.1% | 47.1% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Julius Randle over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.1% | 45.1% |
| Hornets vs. Mavericks | P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks | +175 @ BetMGM | 11.0% | 47.4% |
Conclusion
For January 29, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Reed Sheppard, Luguentz Dort and Anthony Edwards. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
