NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Mark Williams [11/16/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for Sunday, November 16, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks and Stephen Curry.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Clippers vs. Celtics and Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Sunday, 11/16

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for November 16, ranked by edge.

Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 47.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Hawks vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Phoenix' Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.2% gives this play an edge of 11.3% at +178 odds.

Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Dillon Brooks’s steals prop shows a 10.2% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+152)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET)

Our model shows value on Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals, supported by a 9.1% edge at +152 odds.

Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals (+167)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Nets vs. Wizards (6:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kyshawn George to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 8.8% on the over 1.5 line at +167 odds.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Magic vs. Rockets (7:00PM ET)

Our model shows value on Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals for Houston, showing an edge of 7.4% edge at +162 odds.

Kevin Durant under 0.5 steals (+159)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 0.9
• Game: Magic vs. Rockets (7:00PM ET)

Kevin Durant’s steals prop shows an edge of 6.3% edge at +159 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 0.9 today.

Jeremiah Fears over 1.5 steals (+118)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Warriors vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jeremiah Fears for 1.6 steals for New Orleans, creating an edge of 6.3% on over 1.5 at +118 odds.

Dyson Daniels over 2.5 steals (+112)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Projection: 2.7
• Game: Hawks vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Dyson Daniels for 2.7 steals, creating value on the over 2.5 line at +112 odds and a 6.2% edge.

Alex Sarr under 2.5 steals (+151)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 0.8
• Game: Nets vs. Wizards (6:00PM ET)

A 5.7% edge on the under 2.5 steals line makes Alex Sarr a value play in Nets vs. Wizards, with our model projecting him for 0.8 steals at +151 odds.

Draymond Green over 5.5 assists (+120)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 51.0%
• Projection: 5.7
• Game: Warriors vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Draymond Green for 5.7 assists here, creating a 5.5% edge on the over 5.5 line at -130 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, November 16, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:56PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Hawks vs. Suns	Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.3%	47.2%
Hawks vs. Suns	Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.2%	44.2%
Warriors vs. Pelicans	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+152 @ FanDuel	8.8%	46.2%
Nets vs. Wizards	Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals	+167 @ DraftKings	8.8%	46.2%
Magic vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals	+162 @ DraftKings	7.4%	45.6%
Magic vs. Rockets	Kevin Durant under 0.5 steals	+159 @ DraftKings	6.3%	44.9%
Warriors vs. Pelicans	Jeremiah Fears over 1.5 steals	+118 @ FanDuel	6.3%	52.2%
Hawks vs. Suns	Dyson Daniels over 2.5 steals	+112 @ DraftKings	6.2%	53.4%
Nets vs. Wizards	Alex Sarr under 2.5 steals	+151 @ DraftKings	5.7%	45.5%
Warriors vs. Pelicans	Draymond Green over 5.5 assists	+120 @ BetMGM	5.5%	51.0%

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Conclusion

For November 16, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Mark Williams, Dillon Brooks and Stephen Curry. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.