NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Draymond Green [11/21/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for Friday, November 21, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Draymond Green, Jaden McDaniels and Lauri Markkanen.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Nets vs. Celtics and Heat vs. Bulls, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Friday, 11/21

Sourced from 45+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for November 21, ranked by edge.

Draymond Green over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 16.0%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Golden State's Draymond Green over 1.5 steals. A probability of 51.7% gives this play an edge of 16.0% at +180 odds.

Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Jaden McDaniels’s steals prop shows a 10.9% edge at +180 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Lauri Markkanen over 3.5 3-pointers made (+130)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Jazz (10:00PM ET)

Our model shows value on Lauri Markkanen over 3.5 3-pointers made, supported by a 9.9% edge at +130 odds.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Stephen Curry to put up 1.6 steals today, creating an edge of 9.5% on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds.

Luguentz Dort over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Thunder vs. Jazz (10:00PM ET)

Our model shows value on Luguentz Dort over 2.5 3-pointers made for Oklahoma City, showing an edge of 9.5% edge at +146 odds.

Isaiah Hartenstein over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 46.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Jazz (10:00PM ET)

Isaiah Hartenstein’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.3% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Jamal Murray for 1.1 steals for Denver, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 1.5 at +178 odds.

Donte DiVincenzo over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Donte DiVincenzo for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds and a 7.9% edge.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 assists (+120)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Projection: 8.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Jazz (10:00PM ET)

A 7.3% edge on the over 1.5 assists line makes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander a value play in Thunder vs. Jazz, with our model projecting him for 8.0 assists at +120 odds.

Amen Thompson over 0.5 blocks (+100)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Amen Thompson for 1.1 blocks here, creating a 7.2% edge on the over 0.5 line at -130 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, November 21, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 9:51PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Draymond Green over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	16.0%	51.7%
Timberwolves vs. Suns	Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	10.9%	46.6%
Thunder vs. Jazz	Lauri Markkanen over 3.5 3-pointers made	+130 @ BetMGM	9.5%	51.5%
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+138 @ DraftKings	9.5%	51.5%
Thunder vs. Jazz	Luguentz Dort over 2.5 3-pointers made	+146 @ FanDuel	9.5%	50.1%
Thunder vs. Jazz	Isaiah Hartenstein over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.3%	46.5%
Nuggets vs. Rockets	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	8.3%	44.3%
Timberwolves vs. Suns	Donte DiVincenzo over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	7.9%	48.2%
Thunder vs. Jazz	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 assists	+120 @ BetMGM	7.3%	52.7%
Nuggets vs. Rockets	Amen Thompson over 0.5 blocks	+100 @ BetMGM	7.2%	57.2%

Conclusion

For November 21, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Draymond Green, Jaden McDaniels and Lauri Markkanen. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.