Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Get Netherlands vs Morocco predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.
the Netherlands will face Morocco in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at Estadio BBVA on Monday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects the Netherlands as the most likely winner of the Netherlands vs. Morocco game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
the Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 44.8% chance of the Netherlands winning, a 28.2% chance for Morocco, and a 27.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.3% chance of staying under, with a 51.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, the Netherlands holds a 26.5% probability to win without conceding, with Morocco at 16.2%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either the Netherlands or Morocco at 73.0%.
A quick reminder: standard World Cup markets apply to 90 minutes of regulation play only, excluding extra time unless stated otherwise. This differs from sports like the NBA, where overtime is typically included.
Morocco vs. Netherlands odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| the Netherlands | Morocco | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +130 | +260 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +120 | -145 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Netherlands vs. Morocco picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: the Netherlands @ +130 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +120 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: the Netherlands @ +250 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Netherlands or Morocco @ -270 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ +100 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is the Netherlands to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| the Netherlands 1-1 Morocco | 12.7% |
| the Netherlands 1-0 Morocco | 12.2% |
| the Netherlands 0-1 Morocco | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Netherlands vs. Morocco player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in the Netherlands-Morocco:
the Netherlands
- Brian Brobbey: 21.4% probability
- Cody Gakpo: 20.9% probability
- Donyell Malen: 18.6% probability
- Tijjani Reijnders: 11.9% probability
- Denzel Dumfries: 7.8% probability
Morocco
- Ismael Saibari: 19.3% probability
- Brahim Diaz: 16.2% probability
- Azzedine Ounahi: 11.1% probability
- Bilal Khannouss: 9.2% probability
- Achraf Hakimi: 8.4% probability
Netherlands vs. Morocco game-day updates and essential details
Monday's soccer World Cup action between the Netherlands and Morocco at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Netherlands vs. Morocco
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, the Netherlands has a 44.8% win probability on Monday, Morocco has a 28.2% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
