Missouri vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET as Missouri faces off with the favored Arkansas in men's college basketball action at Bud Walton Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Arkansas as the most likely winner of the Missouri vs. Arkansas game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Missouri vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Missouri and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Arkansas a 79% chance of beating Missouri. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 84-75.

According to our model, Arkansas (-8.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 159.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Missouri vs. Arkansas odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Missouri vs. Arkansas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas -8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Missouri vs. Arkansas game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball game between Arkansas and Missouri at Bud Walton Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Missouri vs. Arkansas
• Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Bud Walton Arena

Conclusion

We predict Arkansas, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Missouri on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri vs. Arkansas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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