Manhattan vs. Fairfield prediction: Fairfield favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/5/2026]

Fairfield will face Manhattan in men's college basketball action at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Fairfield as the most likely winner of the Manhattan vs. Fairfield game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Manhattan vs. Fairfield prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Manhattan and Fairfield 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Fairfield a 68% chance of defeating Manhattan. Our predicted final score has Fairfield winning 76-71.

According to our model, Fairfield (-4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 148.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Manhattan vs. Fairfield odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Manhattan	Fairfield
Spread	+4.5 (-114)	-4.5 (-106)
Moneyline	+170	-192
Total	o148.5 (-105)	u148.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Manhattan vs. Fairfield picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fairfield -4.5	-106
Moneyline	Fairfield	-192
Total	Over 148.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fairfield -4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Manhattan vs. Fairfield game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Fairfield and Manhattan at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Manhattan vs. Fairfield
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall

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Conclusion

We predict Fairfield, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Manhattan on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manhattan vs. Fairfield insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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