Joao Fonseca vs. Rafael Jodar prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Joao Fonseca will face Rafael Jodar in the round of 32 at the ATP Madrid event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Fonseca vs. Jodar match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Fonseca vs. Jodar prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Fonseca-Jodar men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Jodar a 51% chance of winning against Fonseca at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, both Fonseca and Jodar have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fonseca (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Joao Fonseca vs. Rafael Jodar odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fonseca vs. Jodar picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: