Jul 9, 2026
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Read Article Is A'ja Wilson Playing Tonight? Experts Update Predictions After Injury Status
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
See what the data says about A'Ja Wilson's potential return on Thursday night.
The Las Vegas Aces are heavy favorites tonight, but their path to a win could look very different depending on the status of one player. Ahead of Thursday night's road game against the Fire, reigning MVP A'ja Wilson is listed as questionable on the WNBA injury report with a right leg injury, a designation that's already shifting the WNBA betting markets.
Wilson's uncertain status is significant given how the Aces have leaned on her all season. She's currently in danger of missing a fourth consecutive regular-season contest, and her absence would open the door for a very different offensive game plan in Portland, where the Aces currently project as 74.8% probability favorites.
An injury kills a shot at the sweep, but back on track in this WNBA series with hits of +114 and +122 last night 💰
— Dimers (@DimersCom) July 9, 2026
Get a head start on today's three-game slate with our Player Projections Hub: https://t.co/Sv3FI8Jhhz https://t.co/EmGtvs8Ukc
Her questionable tag has shifted the betting lines for Aces vs. Fire as seen in both our best bets and best WNBA props.
Will A'ja Wilson play tonight?
Wilson (leg) is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Fire.
Wilson is in danger of missing a fourth consecutive regular-season contest due to a right leg injury. If the superstar center isn't cleared to play, Jackie Young should see an increased workload as our projected top scorer behind Wilson, currently at 17.3 points, while NaLyssa Smith, currently projected for 5.3 rebounds, would see an increase in both scoring and rebounding opportunities.
A'ja Wilson player projections
According to our projections from the Dimers App, A'ja Wilson is projected for 28.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 1.2 threes, 2.2 blocks and 1.6 steals tonight, assuming she's cleared to play.
Our full projections for A'ja Wilson from the Dimers App.
Her rebounding projection stands out as a slate-high mark, and our model identifies multiple value plays based on her line tonight.
MORE PROJECTIONS: Get in-depth player projections for every player in every WNBA game with Dimers Pro, now available for 50% off your first week or month with promo code USA!
Aces vs. Fire: matchup details and betting odds
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces at Fire
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center
- Spread: Aces -8.5
- Total: 174.5
- Moneyline: Aces -375, Fire +310
- Win Probability: Aces 74%, Fire 26%
- Projected Score: Aces 89, Fire 83
Dimers' predictive model assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times, providing a precise and unbiased view of tonight's matchup.
If Wilson suits up, the Aces enter as heavy favorites to extend their momentum in the WNBA standings. If she's held out, keep an eye on Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith as the players best positioned to absorb her usage.
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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