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Warriors vs. Celtics prediction: Boston favored to win Wednesday's NBA game [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors will meet in NBA action at TD Garden on Wednesday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Celtics game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Celtics lineup will feature players like Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Derrick White, while the Warriors will be led by Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton and Gui Santos.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Celtics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Warriors and Celtics 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Celtics an 81% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 114-103.
According to our model, the Warriors (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 216.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Warriors vs. Celtics odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +475 | -560 |
| Total | o216.5 (-110) | u216.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Celtics picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +11.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | +475 |
| Total | Over 216.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Celtics player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Warriors vs. Celtics matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Kristaps Porzingis is expected to lead the Warriors with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jaylen Brown is projected to have 26 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists for the Celtics.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Porzingis | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| D. Melton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Gui Santos | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| B. Podziemski | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Gary Payton | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Celtics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 26 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 49 |
| Jayson Tatum | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 45 |
| Derrick White | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| P. Pritchard | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
Warriors vs. Celtics game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Celtics and Warriors at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Wednesday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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