...
...
Read Article
Experts update Commanders vs. Lions prediction after latest David Montgomery news update
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.
Detroit Lions powerhouse running back David Montgomery is set to make his return on Saturday against the Washington Commanders, poised to make an immediate impact based on the latest Dimers NFL predictions.
After Montgomery initially feared a season-ending knee injury after going down in Week 15, he avoided surgery on his MCL. This past Tuesday after the Lions Wild Card Round bye week, he was listed as a full participant in practice, and he is officially off the injury report for the lions' Divisional Round tilt with the Washington Commanders.
Montgomery is a crucial piece of Detroit's balance attack on offense, racking up 775 rushing yards ad 12 rushing touchdowns this season, and will revitalize the Lions' two-headed rushing game with second-year standout Jahmyr Gibbs.
In light of this development, our data analysts have updated their Commanders vs. Lions score prediction and player stat projections after conducting new simulations that took into account Detroit’s roster updates.
The results of Dimers’ simulations were compared to updated sportsbook odds to compile the data-driven Commanders-Lions preview below.
Commanders vs. Lions Betting Preview
Explore the interactive widget below to view the current spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Commanders vs. Lions game at Ford Field:
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:45PM, Jan 16
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country:
Game details
Key information on the Commanders vs. Lions matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Ford Field
- NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report
Odds
The latest odds for the NFL Divisional Round matchup between the Commanders and Lions:
- Spread: Commanders +9.5 (-112), Lions -9.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Commanders +420, Lions -550
- Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-105/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fans of both teams can unlock betting bonuses with the NFL Divisional Round "King of the Endzone" betting promo from DraftKings, while Bet365′s $150 sign-up offer has emerged as the most popular betting deal for fans in Virginia.
Expert prediction: Commanders vs. Lions
Using advanced data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Commanders vs. Lions matchup.
According to Dimers’ famous predictive analytics model, the Lions are more likely to defeat the Commanders at Ford Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Lions a 75% chance of winning the game.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Commanders (+9.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 50% chance of going over.
As always, these predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Commanders vs. Lions best bet
Our top pick for the Commanders vs. Lions game on Saturday is to bet on Commanders +9.5 (-110).
This expert betting advice is based on cutting-edge modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.
Score prediction for Commanders vs. Lions
Dimers’ projected final score for the Washington vs. Detroit game on Saturday has the Lions winning 32-23.
This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
NFL player props: Saturday
NFL player prop picks are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday’s game without necessarily betting on its outcome.
This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Commanders and Lions, as well as projected player stats.
Detroit Lions
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 15.7% probability
- David Montgomery: 10.9% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.4% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 59.6% probability
- David Montgomery: 57.5% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 45.3% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jared Goff, 268 yards
- Receiving yards: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 81 yards
- Rushing yards: Jamhyr Gibbs, 74 yards
Washington Commanders
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 8.9% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 7.2% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 6.5% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 44.7% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 39.3% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 35.0% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jayden Daniels, 226 yards
- Receiving yards: Terry McLaurin, 80 yards
- Rushing yards: Brian Robinson, 52 yards
NFL Week 20: Commanders vs. Lions
Get ready for Saturday’s action between the Commanders and Lions in the divisional Round of the National Football League season at Ford Field, which is scheduled to start at 4:30 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this preview are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Commanders vs. Lions game, and they are accurate at the time of publishing to help you make more informed choices when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
Responsible Gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
Swipe across to view more offers 
