Argentina vs. Egypt prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Argentina and Egypt, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 72.1% chance of Argentina winning, an 8.4% chance for Egypt, and a 19.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.0% chance of staying under, with a 67.2% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 52.7% probability to win without conceding, with Egypt given a 5.6% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 91.6%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

Egypt vs. Argentina odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Argentina	Egypt	Draw
-300	+1000	+400

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+100	-110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Argentina vs. Egypt picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Egypt @ +400 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Argentina @ -125 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Egypt or Draw @ +220 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -172 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Argentina 1-0 Egypt	17.3%
Argentina 2-0 Egypt	16.7%
Argentina 3-0 Egypt	10.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 32.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 67.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Argentina vs. Egypt player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Egypt:

Argentina

• Lionel Messi: 47.2% probability
• Julian Alvarez: 30.8% probability
• Enzo Fernandez: 14.5% probability
• Alexis Allister: 13.0% probability
• Rodrigo De Paul: 9.9% probability

Egypt

• Mohamed Salah: 12.3% probability
• Mostafa Ziko: 8.3% probability
• Emam Ashour: 6.2% probability
• Haissem Hassan: 5.8% probability
• Ramy Rabia: 2.8% probability

Argentina vs. Egypt game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's FIFA World Cup action between Argentina and Egypt at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Argentina vs. Egypt
• Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Argentina has a 72.1% win probability on Tuesday, Egypt has an 8.4% win probability, and there is a 19.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.