Panama vs. Croatia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get Panama vs Croatia predictions for World Cup 2026 Tuesday.

Panama will square off with Croatia in Group L of the World Cup 2026 at BMO Field on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects Croatia as the most likely winner of the Panama vs. Croatia game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Panama vs. Croatia prediction: Who will win?
Our leading predictive model indicates a 14.8% chance of Panama winning, a 66.1% chance for Croatia, and a 19.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60.9% chance of going over, with a 54.3% chance that both teams find the net. In the win to nil market, Croatia holds a 34.7% probability to win without conceding, with Panama at 6.7%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Croatia to win or draw at 85.2%.
Croatia vs. Panama odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Panama | Croatia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +600 | -200 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Panama vs. Croatia picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Panama @ +600 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -142 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Panama @ +950 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Panama or Croatia @ -475 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ -110 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Panama vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Croatia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Panama 0-2 Croatia | 10.5% |
| Panama 1-2 Croatia | 9.8% |
| Panama 0-1 Croatia | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Panama vs. Croatia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Panama-Croatia:
Panama
- Cecilio Waterman: 18.2% probability
- Yoel Barcenas: 9.7% probability
- Jose Rodriguez: 9.5% probability
- Amir Murillo: 6.6% probability
- Cristian Martinez: 6.1% probability
Croatia
- Petar Musa: 33.6% probability
- Ivan Perisic: 25.0% probability
- Martin Baturina: 22.1% probability
- Luka Modric: 21.0% probability
- Mateo Kovacic: 13.0% probability
Panama vs. Croatia game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's soccer World Cup game between Panama and Croatia at BMO Field is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Panama vs. Croatia
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: BMO Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Panama has a 14.8% win probability on Tuesday, Croatia has a 66.1% win probability, and there is a 19.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



