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Avalanche vs. Kraken prediction: Colorado favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [3/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Seattle Kraken predictions for NHL Thursday.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the Colorado Avalanche take on the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Kraken game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Kraken prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Kraken 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 62% chance of beating the Kraken.
According to our model, the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Kraken odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -200 | +170 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Kraken picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kraken | +170 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Kraken player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Kraken?
According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Kraken.
Our projections give Necas a 37.7% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 37.7% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 36.9% |
| Brock Nelson | 34.6% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 30.8% |
| Nazem Kadri | 29.4% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jared McCann | 25.8% |
| Matty Beniers | 23.6% |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 23.6% |
| Shane Wright | 22.9% |
| Jordan Eberle | 22.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 8.4% |
| Martin Necas | 7.8% |
| Brock Nelson | 7.0% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 6.1% |
| Nazem Kadri | 5.5% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jared McCann | 5.0% |
| Matty Beniers | 4.7% |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 4.0% |
| Shane Wright | 3.9% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 3.9% |
Avs vs. Kraken game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Kraken and Avalanche at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Seattle Kraken
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Kraken insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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