Hurricanes vs. Penguins prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/22/2026]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Carolina Hurricanes, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Hurricanes a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Penguins.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Hurricanes vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Canes vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Hurricanes and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 54% chance of defeating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Hurricanes vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hurricanes	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+172)	+1.5 (-190)
Moneyline	-142	+120
Total	o6.5 (-122)	u6.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hurricanes vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-190
Moneyline	Penguins	+120
Total	Under 6.5	+105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Hurricanes vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Hurricanes vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Seth Jarvis is most likely to score an anytime goal in Hurricanes vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Jarvis a 30.3% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 5.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Seth Jarvis	30.3%
Andrei Svechnikov	29.0%
Sebastian Aho	28.7%
Nikolaj Ehlers	27.2%
Jackson Blake	21.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	30.2%
Rickard Rakell	28.2%
Sidney Crosby	28.1%
Anthony Mantha	26.6%
Yegor Chinakhov	26.3%

First goal scorer predictions

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	First Goal Probability
Sebastian Aho	5.5%
Andrei Svechnikov	5.4%
Seth Jarvis	5.2%
Nikolaj Ehlers	4.8%
Logan Stankoven	3.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	5.6%
Bryan Rust	5.4%
Anthony Mantha	5.2%
Rickard Rakell	5.2%
Yegor Chinakhov	5.1%

Canes vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Penguins and Hurricanes at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Hurricanes, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hurricanes vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.