Aug 1, 2026
Essendon Bombers vs. Adelaide Crows prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 21 matchup [8/2/2026]
Read Article Carlton Blues vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Why Lions are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 21 matchup [8/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Carlton Blues and Brisbane Lions will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Lions as the most likely winner in this Lions vs. Blues prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blues vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 21 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Lions and Blues, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 68.6% chance of beating the Blues.
According to our model, the Blues (+20.5) have a 57.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 185.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
Brisbane vs. Carlton odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -312 | +235 |
| Line (Spread) | -20.5 (-115) | +20.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Blues picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Blues +20.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Blues | +235 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +20.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Blues and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Carlton Blues
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 68.6% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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