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Celtics vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Wednesday's NBA matchup [2/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Houston Rockets will face the Boston Celtics in NBA action at Toyota Center on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Celtics will be led by Payton Pritchard, Derrick White and Neemias Queta.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets a 74% chance of defeating the Celtics. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 109-102.
According to our model, the Celtics (+8) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 210.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Celtics vs. Rockets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8 (-106) | -8 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -300 |
| Total | o210.5 (-106) | u210.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Celtics +8 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -300 |
| Total | Over 210.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Over 210.5 total points.
Celtics vs. Rockets player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Boston vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Payton Pritchard is expected to lead the Celtics with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 25 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pritchard | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
| Derrick White | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 39 |
| Neemias Queta | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Luka Garza | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Jordan Walsh | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 25 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 44 |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
Celtics vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Rockets and Celtics at Toyota Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Celtics on Wednesday, with Alperen Sengun projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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