Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield men's college basketball play [12/11/2025]

Men's College Basketball: Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Men's College Basketball matchup: North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 at -108 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 5.8%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Men's College Basketball: Appalachian State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Men's College Basketball matchup: Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Appalachian State +3.5 carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 55.8% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Men's College Basketball: Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Syracuse (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5 vs. Syracuse at -110 odds shows a 4.9% edge, supported by a 57.3% probability in simulations.

Men's College Basketball: Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

A 4.7% edge and 56% probability make Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley over 144.5 points at a value play in the Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley matchup, per our model.

NHL: Panthers +1.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 58.1%
• NHL Matchup: Panthers vs. Avalanche (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Panthers +1.5 at -115 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.1%.

Men's College Basketball: Cal State Bakersfield ML (+245)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 33.6%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Cal State Bakersfield to win at +245 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

NHL: Panthers ML (+205)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 36.6%
• NHL Matchup: Panthers vs. Avalanche (9:30PM ET, Thursday) Our model has uncovered value on Panthers ML at +205 odds. A 36.6% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's NHL action.

NBA: Nuggets vs. Kings under 240.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• NBA Matchup: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 3.1% edge on a 55.5% probability makes under 240.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Nuggets vs. Kings matchup.

NBA: Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans under 239.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 53.6%
• NBA Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on under 239.5 points at -106 odds. A 53.6% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s NBA matchup.

Men's College Basketball: Appalachian State ML (+162)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 40.3%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Panthers vs. Avalanche (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Appalachian State to defeat East Carolina at +162 odds shows a 40.3% probability and a 2.1% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 12/11/2025

As of 8:31AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (Men's College Basketball)	Cal State Bakersfield +6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.8%	57.7%
Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (Men's College Basketball)	Appalachian State +3.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.3%	55.8%
Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Syracuse (Men's College Basketball)	Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.9%	57.3%
Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (Men's College Basketball)	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	4.7%	56%
Panthers vs. Avalanche (NHL)	Panthers +1.5	-115 @ BetMGM	4.7%	58.1%
North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (Men's College Basketball)	Cal State Bakersfield ML	+245 @ FanDuel	4.6%	33.6%
Panthers vs. Avalanche (NHL)	Panthers ML	+205 @ DraftKings	3.8%	36.6%
Nuggets vs. Kings (NBA)	Under 240.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55.5%
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans (NBA)	Under 239.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	2.2%	53.6%
Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (Men's College Basketball)	Appalachian State ML	+162 @ FanDuel	2.1%	40.3%

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [12/11/2025]

• NHL: Hurricanes vs. Capitals (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Sharks vs. Maple Leafs (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Golden Knights vs. Flyers (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Ducks vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Senators vs. Blue Jackets (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NHL: Lightning vs. Devils (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NCAAM: Western Carolina vs. Virginia Tech (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NCAAM: Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• NCAAM: Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for December 11, 2025, featuring plays such as Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 and Appalachian State +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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