Best bets today for all sports: Friday's picks include Diamondbacks vs. Astros MLB play [9/4/2026]

MLB: Diamondbacks vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 60.3%
• MLB matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Astros at -113 odds. A 60.3% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

MLB: Rays vs. Rangers Over 8.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 56.7%
• MLB matchup: Rays vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Rays vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 56.7% at +100 odds, according to our model.

MLB: Yankees vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 53.5%
• MLB Matchup: Yankees vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Yankees vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 6.6% edge, supported by a 53.5% probability in simulations.

MLB: Athletics vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 51.8%
• MLB Matchup: Athletics vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)

A 5.8% edge and 51.8% probability make Athletics vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs a value play in the Athletics vs. Mariners matchup, per our model.

MLB: Cardinals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (+122)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 50.5%
• MLB Matchup: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Cardinals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs at +122 odds presents a 5.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 50.5%.

MLB: Nationals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 58.2%
• MLB Matchup: Nationals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Nationals vs. Dodgers at -115 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Liga MX: Juarez ML (+260)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 32.4%
• Liga MX Matchup: Pachuca vs. Juarez (11:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Pachuca-Juarez to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +260 odds. A 32.4% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's Liga MX action.

MLB: Blue Jays vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 58.1%
• MLB Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Royals (8:10PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 58.1% probability makes Over 9.5 runs at -117 odds a solid value play in today's Blue Jays vs. Royals matchup.

MLB: Rays -1.5 (+174)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 39.4%
• MLB Matchup: Rays vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Rays -1.5 at +174 odds. A 39.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making Rays the favorable side in today's MLB matchup.

MLB: Yankees ML (-104)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 53.5%
• MLB Matchup: Yankees vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Yankees to defeat Padres at -104 odds shows a 53.5% probability and a 2.5% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Friday, 9/4/2026

As of 7:50PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming events to bet on now [9/4/2026]

• NCAAF: Toledo vs. Michigan State (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Texas-El Paso vs. Oklahoma (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Long Island University vs. Kansas (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Rays vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: D-Backs vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Blue Jays vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Denis Shapovalov vs. Ben Shelton (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Anna Kalinskaya vs. Elina Svitolina (8:40PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Fresno State vs. Southern California (9:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for September 4, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Rays vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.