Argentina vs. Austria prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get Argentina vs Austria predictions for World Cup 2026 Monday.

Argentina will take on Austria in Group J of the World Cup 2026 at AT&T Stadium on Monday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects Argentina as the most likely winner of the Argentina vs. Austria game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Argentina vs. Austria prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model suggests a 66.9% chance of Argentina winning, a 12.2% chance for Austria, and a 20.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 58.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 43.8% probability to win without conceding, with Austria given a 7.2% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 87.8%.
Austria vs. Argentina odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Argentina | Austria | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -215 | +650 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Argentina vs. Austria picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Austria @ +650 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -108 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Argentina @ +115 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Austria or Draw @ +180 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Austria to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Argentina vs. Austria: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentina 1-0 Austria | 14.6% |
| Argentina 2-0 Austria | 13.9% |
| Argentina 1-1 Austria | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 41.2% chance of both Argentina and Austria finding the net and a 58.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Argentina vs. Austria player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Austria:
Argentina
- Lionel Messi: 40.5% probability
- Julian Alvarez: 31.0% probability
- Thiago Almada: 18.3% probability
- Enzo Fernandez: 13.2% probability
- Alexis Allister: 11.8% probability
Austria
- Marko Arnautovic: 15.5% probability
- Marcel Sabitzer: 11.0% probability
- Romano Schmid: 9.1% probability
- David Alaba: 5.5% probability
- Konrad Laimer: 5.5% probability
Argentina vs. Austria game-day updates and essential details
Monday's FIFA World Cup action between Argentina and Austria at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Argentina vs. Austria
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Argentina has a 66.9% win probability on Monday, Austria has a 12.2% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



