Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [5/10/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad matchup.

Atletico Madrid-Real Sociedad Predictions and Game Preview.
Riyadh Air Metropolitano sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad this Saturday.

La Liga action continues on Saturday at 3:00PM ET as Real Sociedad takes on Atletico Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Atletico Madrid-Real Sociedad game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 50.7% chance of winning, Real Sociedad a 23.1% chance, and a 26.1% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad predictions page.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 50.7% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 23.1% chance for Real Sociedad, and a 26.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.

 

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad Draw
-130 +390 +250

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
+110 -134

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
ATM 1-0 SOC 13.4%
ATM 1-1 SOC 12.3%
ATM 2-0 SOC 10%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.6% chance that both Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad score, and a 53.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's La Liga action between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 50.7% win probability on Saturday, Real Sociedad has a 23.1% win probability, and there is a 26.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on La Liga

Stay informed with the latest La Liga news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds provide the most accurate predictions for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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