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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe prediction: Arkansas State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET as the favored Arkansas State locks horns with Louisiana-Monroe in men's college basketball action at Fant-Ewing Coliseum.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State a 90% chance of beating Louisiana-Monroe. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 86-71.
According to our model, Arkansas State (-15.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arkansas State | Louisiana-Monroe |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -15.5 (-106) | +15.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -1600 | +1040 |
| Total | o165.5 (-110) | u165.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -15.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Louisiana-Monroe | +1040 |
| Total | Under 165.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 165.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Louisiana-Monroe and Arkansas State at Fant-Ewing Coliseum is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Fant-Ewing Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas State, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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