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Arizona State vs. Baylor prediction: Baylor favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arizona State vs Baylor predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Baylor will face Arizona State in men's college basketball action at Foster Pavilion on Saturday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Baylor as the most likely winner of the Arizona State vs. Baylor game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arizona State vs. Baylor prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arizona State and Baylor 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Baylor an 80% chance of defeating Arizona State. Our predicted final score has Baylor winning 81-72.
According to our model, Baylor (-8.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 157.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Arizona State vs. Baylor odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arizona State | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +300 | -350 |
| Total | o157.5 (-110) | u157.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arizona State vs. Baylor picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Baylor -8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Baylor | -350 |
| Total | Under 157.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Baylor -8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arizona State vs. Baylor game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Baylor and Arizona State at Foster Pavilion is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona State vs. Baylor
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Foster Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Baylor, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Arizona State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arizona State vs. Baylor insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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