...
...
Read Article
Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Barcelona Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get de Minaur vs Medjedovic predictions for ATP Barcelona Open.
Alex de Minaur will square off with Hamad Medjedovic in the round of 16 at the ATP Barcelona event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the de Minaur vs. Medjedovic match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
de Minaur vs. Medjedovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's de Minaur-Medjedovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 70% chance of defeating Medjedovic at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 67% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medjedovic (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | de Minaur | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -242 | +200 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-108) | +3.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
de Minaur vs. Medjedovic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | de Minaur | -242 |
| First Set | Medjedovic | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
de Minaur vs. Medjedovic updates and essential details
The ATP Barcelona Open match between Alex de Minaur and Hamad Medjedovic is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic
- Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Barcelona, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Hamad Medjedovic at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure