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Alaves vs. Mallorca prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Mallorca predictions for La Liga Saturday.
La Liga action continues on Saturday at 8:00 AM ET as RCD Mallorca takes on Alaves at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Alaves as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. RCD Mallorca game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. RCD Mallorca prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Alaves and RCD Mallorca, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 45.4% chance of Alaves winning, a 28.6% chance for RCD Mallorca, and a 26.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. RCD Mallorca odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | RCD Mallorca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +280 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -111 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. RCD Mallorca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca | +280 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -111 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Mallorca to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alaves vs. RCD Mallorca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 RCD | 12.4% |
| ALV 1-0 RCD | 11.1% |
| ALV 2-1 RCD | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 48.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Mallorca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga matchup between Alaves and RCD Mallorca at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to begin in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Mallorca
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 45.4% win probability on Saturday, RCD Mallorca has a 28.6% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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