Bucks vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Hawks NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Bucks
112
110
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Bucks
20 34 26 32 112
Hawks
19 19 34 38 110
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bucks
    90%
  • Hawks
    10%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Bucks
20 34 26 32 112
Hawks
19 19 34 38 110
Q4 1:49 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:40 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:45 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:39 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:57 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 7:42 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:11
    +1
    Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-110
  3. Q4 00:11
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
  4. Q4 00:15
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-107
  5. Q4 00:15
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  6. Q4 00:30
    Hawks offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  8. Q4 00:36
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  9. Q4 00:40
    Hawks turnover
  10. Q4 1:38
    Bucks personal foul
  11. Q4 1:46
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:49
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:59
    Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  14. Q4 2:04
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  15. Q4 2:27
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    101-100
  16. Q4 2:36
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 2:47
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-96
  18. Q4 3:02
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    101-95
  19. Q4 3:17
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    99-95
  20. Q4 3:20
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:40
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    99-92
  22. Q4 4:25
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-90
  23. Q4 4:45
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    96-90
  24. Q4 4:58
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-87
  25. Q4 5:05
    Bucks personal foul
  26. Q4 5:05
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-87
  27. Q4 5:05
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  28. Q4 5:05
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
  29. Q4 5:05
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  30. Q4 5:15
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  31. Q4 6:25
    Bucks personal foul
  32. Q4 6:25
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-82
  33. Q4 6:25
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-83
  34. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    92-81
  35. Q4 6:57
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    90-81
  36. Q4 7:12
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  37. Q4 7:23
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
  38. Q4 7:40
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  39. Q4 7:42
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 8:20
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  41. Q4 8:22
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  42. Q4 8:27
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 8:34
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  44. Q4 8:52
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    90-78
  45. Q4 9:16
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  46. Q4 9:21
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 9:33
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  48. Q4 9:50
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    87-76
  49. Q4 10:10
    Hawks personal foul
  50. Q4 10:10
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
  51. Q4 10:19
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 10:21
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  53. Q4 10:25
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 11:23
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  55. Q4 11:25
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  56. Q4 11:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  57. Q3 00:00
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  58. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  59. Q3 00:01
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    80-70
  60. Q3 00:10
    Bucks turnover
  61. Q3 00:12
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye)
  62. Q3 00:48
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    80-69
  63. Q3 1:10
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    78-69
  64. Q3 1:15
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  65. Q3 1:38
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  66. Q3 2:17
    Hawks turnover
  67. Q3 2:24
    Bucks turnover
  68. Q3 2:41
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    76-64
  69. Q3 2:41
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, AJ Green)
  70. Q3 2:48
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  71. Q3 3:11
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    76-63
  72. Q3 3:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  73. Q3 3:36
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  74. Q3 3:58
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-61
  75. Q3 3:58
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-61
  76. Q3 3:58
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green)
  77. Q3 4:21
    Bucks turnover
  78. Q3 4:45
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Asa Newell, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
  79. Q3 4:47
    Bucks turnover
  80. Q3 4:55
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  81. Q3 5:02
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 5:20
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  83. Q3 5:47
    Bucks personal foul
  84. Q3 5:47
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye)
  85. Q3 5:55
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 6:01
    Hawks turnover
  87. Q3 6:39
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    74-54
  88. Q3 6:52
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    74-51
  89. Q3 7:13
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    71-51
  90. Q3 7:32
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    69-51
  91. Q3 7:44
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  92. Q3 7:48
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  93. Q3 8:23
    Hawks personal foul
  94. Q3 8:29
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  95. Q3 8:44
    Bucks personal foul
  96. Q3 8:54
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  97. Q3 9:26
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    63-48
  98. Q3 9:34
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    63-45
  99. Q3 10:09
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  100. Q3 10:09
    Bucks offensive rebound
  101. Q3 10:11
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  102. Q3 10:13
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  103. Q3 10:45
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  104. Q3 10:49
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 11:07
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    59-40
  106. Q3 11:26
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    56-40
  107. Q2 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  108. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  109. Q2 00:03
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  110. Q2 00:03
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-38
  111. Q2 00:03
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  112. Q2 00:27
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    53-38
  113. Q2 00:42
    Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
  114. Q2 00:44
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  115. Q2 00:51
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  116. Q2 00:51
    Bucks offensive rebound
  117. Q2 1:00
    Bucks personal foul
  118. Q2 1:00
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-34
  119. Q2 1:25
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  120. Q2 1:40
    Hawks personal foul
  121. Q2 1:40
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-33
  122. Q2 1:43
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  123. Q2 2:10
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  124. Q2 2:13
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  125. Q2 2:31
    Jump ball. (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)
  126. Q2 2:42
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
  127. Q2 2:45
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  128. Q2 2:48
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  129. Q2 3:17
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  130. Q2 3:26
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  131. Q2 3:47
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  132. Q2 3:50
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  133. Q2 4:21
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-29
  134. Q2 4:21
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  135. Q2 4:30
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  136. Q2 4:33
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  137. Q2 5:16
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  138. Q2 5:20
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  139. Q2 5:36
    Bucks personal foul
  140. Q2 5:46
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
  141. Q2 5:51
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  142. Q2 5:55
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  143. Q2 6:16
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson)
  144. Q2 6:16
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  145. Q2 6:22
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:30
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    41-25
  147. Q2 6:45
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  148. Q2 6:47
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  149. Q2 7:16
    Bucks personal foul
  150. Q2 7:16
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  151. Q2 8:06
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    36-23
  152. Q2 8:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  153. Q2 8:28
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  154. Q2 8:34
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  155. Q2 8:54
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  156. Q2 8:55
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    33-21
  157. Q2 9:19
    Luke Kennard offensive rebound
  158. Q2 9:22
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  159. Q2 9:56
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 10:06
    Hawks personal foul
  161. Q2 10:06
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
  162. Q2 10:09
    Hawks turnover
  163. Q2 10:29
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  164. Q2 10:31
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 10:52
    Hawks personal foul
  166. Q2 11:01
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  167. Q2 11:01
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-21
  168. Q2 11:04
    Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
  169. Q2 11:42
    Bucks personal foul
  170. Q2 11:42
    Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  171. Q1 00:00
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  172. Q1 00:02
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  173. Q1 00:34
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  174. Q1 00:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  175. Q1 00:37
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  176. Q1 00:43
    Bucks personal foul
  177. Q1 00:58
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  178. Q1 1:01
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  179. Q1 1:41
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    18-19
  180. Q1 1:54
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  181. Q1 2:01
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  182. Q1 2:04
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  183. Q1 2:29
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  184. Q1 2:42
    Hawks personal foul
  185. Q1 2:42
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  186. Q1 2:42
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  187. Q1 2:54
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  188. Q1 2:57
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  189. Q1 3:31
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  190. Q1 3:45
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris)
  191. Q1 3:49
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  192. Q1 3:52
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 4:58
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    13-13
  194. Q1 5:03
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  195. Q1 5:14
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  196. Q1 5:14
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins)
  197. Q1 5:26
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  198. Q1 5:30
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 5:48
    Bucks turnover
  200. Q1 5:52
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  201. Q1 6:08
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  202. Q1 6:22
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  203. Q1 6:34
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  204. Q1 6:45
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    13-11
  205. Q1 6:59
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    13-9
  206. Q1 7:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  207. Q1 7:22
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  208. Q1 7:32
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  209. Q1 7:47
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 8:01
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  211. Q1 8:15
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  212. Q1 8:28
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    11-7
  213. Q1 8:42
    Bucks personal foul
  214. Q1 8:42
    Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  215. Q1 9:06
    Hawks personal foul
  216. Q1 9:09
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  217. Q1 9:32
    Hawks turnover
  218. Q1 9:39
    AJ Green turnover
  219. Q1 10:04
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  220. Q1 10:25
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    7-4
  221. Q1 10:59
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 11:13
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  223. Q1 11:40
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  224. Q1 11:43
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  225. Q1 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
  226. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
Box Score
Bucks
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
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Bucks vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Hawks
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks +100, Hawks -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 42%
  • Hawks: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 114-117 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 42%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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